Needless
to say, we live in an era where most markets face an ever increasing
competitive threat. Globalization and the liberalization of multiple markets
have led to the emergence of new competitors with –for the moment- a
significant cost advantage in comparison to companies in the developed world.
Furthermore, the digitalization of businesses and the emergence of mobile
communication have led to a significant reduction, if not the complete
abolition of entry barriers. In many industries the competitive threat does not
arise from competitors doing the same thing at a lower price or better quality,
but from a completely different business model that simply replaces your value
proposition. Newspapers have seen their relevance evaporate with the emergence
of blogs and social media, retail companies have seen their business model
pressured by the growth of online shopping, the traditional photo shops have
lost much of their value to online document sharing tools such as Instagram,
Picase and even Facebook. In the future, manufacturers might face the pressure
of 3D printing; car manufacturers and transport might see demand for their
products and services diminish with the emergence of the ‘sharing economy’; banks
might be attacked in their very core business –lending money to people- by the
emergence of peer-to-peer lending and crowdfunding.
Competitive
pressure will rise, undoubtedly. Luckily, there are now more tools available to
monitor and assess this competitive threat. The days where one had to roam
through conferences and trade fairs or spend hours analyzing the financial
reports of competitors in order to assess his competitive positioning, are long
gone.
Youtube
and Slideshare now offer valuable ways to check what your competitors are
planning for the future, or even how they position themselves in comparison to
your business. On LinkedIn and jobsites you can check what type of experience
your competitors are currently recruiting (or which profiles are leaving the
company), an invaluable sign of the strategic direction they are likely to take.
Say you are in the fashion business, and you see on LinkedIn that your
competitor is hiring a professional with a solid experience in developing
outlet stores, it would give you a solid clue about their plans in the near
future, wouldn’t it?
However,
all this information is rather anecdotal. It cannot be put in figures and be
aggregated to a point where it would lead to relevant insights and conclusions
that would help you design a successful competitive strategy. For that, you
need hard facts and figures.
This
would be fairly easy of your market was dominated by a small amount of
companies that all publish their results in full detail. In most markets,
however, this will not be the case. You will have to assess your competitive
situation indirectly.
Provided
that you have some budget available you will be inclined to pay for services
like Nielsen and GfK in the consumer industry, or IDC and Gartner for the ICT
industry, that regularly communicate detailed market share figures in their
respective markets. However, it is important to keep in mind that these market
share figures in many cases contain a vast amount of assumptions and
calculations, which sometimes reduces their accuracy.
Just
as an example: market research company IDC bases its market share figures
mainly on the input of all the vendors within a specific market. However, many
of the biggest vendors provide their figures only at worldwide level, and
provide some guidance on the split of these figures by region. So IDC has to
make a fair number of assumptions in order to report market shares at country
level, which they do by modeling the numbers based on –albeit sophisticated-
assumptions. I know from experience that the resulting market shares often make
sense in bigger countries, but much less so in smaller markets or segments.
Furthermore, the definitions these research companies work with, both in terms
of market segments and product or services range, do not always match with the
ones used within companies, which sometimes makes it difficult, if not
impossible, to use them for planning or (competitive) strategy purposes.
Let
me be clear here: the observations above are not meant to state that these
market research companies are useless in terms of market share reporting. Far
from it. If anything, the market shares these companies report do reflect
trends and directions that are extremely valuable to understand your
competitive position, and hence, even if sometimes inaccurate, they provide a
very solid basis for further investigation. What I am saying, however, is that
the market share figures from specialized companies should not be taken at face
value, and should be discussed and validated internally by the people that are
best positioned to assess their accuracy: your sales force.
I
know, this statement will make a lot of corporate decision takers quite
uncomfortable. Asking the opinion of sales people about such things as market
sizes and shares? They certainly are bound to minimize the former and maximize
the latter, no? After all, their targets will depend on these figures!
Well,
from my own years of experience organizing such validation discussions, I can
tell this is not necessarily the case. For one, sales people seeking extra
investments in their market will be inclined to over-estimate its size instead
of minimizing it. At any rate, just like data from external agencies should not
be taken for granted, the view you build based on feedback from sales people
should not be neither. Both are nevertheless very complementary in building a
more accurate view of the market. Furthermore, there are other advantages
linked to such a validation process:
- Such a validation exercise certainly offers a chance
to eliminate the aberrations of the market data you use for planning
(sometimes, by comparing external market data with internal sales figures, you
might find out you have a market share of more than 100%!). By building a
market view with a combination of external and internal views, you will end up
with a market view that is agreed on by everyone, and hence forms the best
basis for planning purposes;
- Dependent on the size of your business and the level
of granularity you ask for validation, inaccuracies of the sales view will
quickly become visible. If for a specific product or service the sales
teams in ten countries tell you the market is growing with, say, 20%, but in
just one other country the feedback from sales is that the market is stagnant,
you know something is wrong. There might be good reasons for the sales team in
this country to think their market is not growing, or they might just miss out
on opportunities other sales teams have spotted. In that sense, such a validation exercise forms a very fruitful process
to spot and share best practices;
- These discussions are an ideal opportunity to collect
and aggregate more anecdotal information, such as specific marketing actions or
discount behavior of competitors in specific market segments. If such actions
are spotted in a majority of countries, you will have a solid basis to draw
general conclusions about your competitor;
- If the reasons and the outcome of this validation
process are communicated effectively, sales people will be grateful for the
chance of providing input instead of having unrealistic market figures imposed
on them. Many of them will therefore be very candid about their feedback on their
market, and this will enrich the ultimate outcome of this exercise.
Once
you organized this feedback process you are confronted with a small problem:
you now have two market views to work with, and they sometimes tell a
completely different story. Which one should you use for your planning and
competitive strategy purpose? There are different options at hand: you could
chose to use the external market view anyhow (which will obviously frustrate
your sales teams), or you could calculate the average of both views (after all
the truth must be somewhere in the middle, no?), or you could use the sales
view only to eliminate the aberrations of the external view, keeping the
external view for all other data points. The ultimate decision should be made
taking into account internal sensibilities and fair judgment, but what is
certain is that you will end up with a market view that makes more sense –and
is more broadly accepted- than when you would have used only one set of data.
But
how should you organize such a validation process? Or better: how should you
make sure you organize this process without putting too much strain on your
sales people? The important factor here is to construct a simple and clear
overview of the information you need to validate.
Using
a spreadsheet program (which is to be preferred since it offers numerous
possibilities to consolidate the figures in numerous ways), and assuming your
sales managers cover specific segments with one or more products and services,
a feedback template could look like this:
These
templates should be pre-populated with as much existing information as possible
or with automatic calculations. The point obviously is to reduce the amount of
datapoints the sales teams need to validate. Some additional fields could serve
to collect anecdotal information as well.
We
will dig deeper into this subject in the chapter about account planning, which
is also a form of field feedback.
Despite
the value of such a validation exercise, chances are you will experience some
reluctance –from either your sales force to provide you feedback, or from decision
takers to take the view of your sales force into account. There is no simple
way to deal with this. To increase the level of collaboration with the sales
force in obtaining their feedback, you need to communicate extensively on how
the results will be used exactly. Also, you will not ensure their buy-in if you
just send a template like the one above, for them to fill out. Rather -if possible at all- you will need to organize
one-on-one meetings with them, and eventually fill out the template yourself
while discussing the market figures in the meeting.
You
will have noticed by now that I am a strong advocate of such a field validation
process. However, I do realize that such a process is not fit for all types of
corporate cultures. So what do you do when implementing such a process is not
feasible in your company? You would still need to validate the market share
figures and base your decisions on a market view that makes sense to your
employees.
One
thing you could do to validate and check market share figures is to put them in
a system and integrate it with internal data, basically merging market and
business intelligence data into one single dashboard. You could then build a
‘logic’ in the system in order to systematically track if and where market
share losses or gains make sense or not. Such a logic could for instance look
like this:

The
exact logic of this validation process will of course depend on the nature of
the business you serve, and the structure of your organization. But what the
picture above really tries to show is the power of combining external market
data with internal data, in this case to track where exactly we have gained or
lost business in ‘unnatural’ ways, and whether this justifies the gain or loss
in market share such as reported by external agencies. Admittedly, the exact
conclusions from this work still requires some qualitative input from your
sales teams, but at least it forms a solid basis to conduct these discussions.
As
a decision maker you should obviously not be involved in the gritty details of
building such a tool, but it is important to stay involved at a high level, or
at least to thoroughly understand the logic behind the dashboard, in order to
make sure it answers all the potential questions that might arise when
assessing your competitive situation. After all, such a dashboard will also
serve to produce early warning signals for weaknesses in your business.
At
this point you have some solid -validated-
insights in your competitive situation, to base your planning exercise, your
strategic priorities and your competitive actions on. But are there other ways
to assess your competitive situation and the potential threats that arise from
it? There are plenty of them, and chances are that you already have some form
of competitive watch in place.
You
probably even benchmark your company to that of your competitors on a regular
basis. But what I have often observed is that such benchmarks are limited to
comparing product features, price points and financial performance. But what
about less obvious, perhaps softer aspects of your business? Can you learn
something from benchmarking these?
You
probably would, and the exercise does not have to be difficult at all. Just
select a number of metrics that are relevant and easy to check. You obviously
would need to base yourself on publicly available information, and much of this
benchmark would have to be based on ‘judgment’, rather than facts. Also, you
will have to choose your benchmarking metrics carefully, since some might not
at all be relevant for such a competitive benchmarking. If you are in the
sustainable energy industry, choosing a metric like ‘sustainability image of
the company’ would most probably not lead to revealing insights, since most of
your competitors would score high on this metric.
Finding
and selecting such benchmarking metrics is obviously not an exact science, and
I am sure you can define the most relevant ones for your business by yourself.
But let me just highlight the categories of metrics I most often use myself,
and that are resulting from doing this type of work for customers in very
different industries:
Attractiveness
as employer: in this category you
might include metrics that indicate how well prepared you and your competitors
are to attract and retain talented employees. You could refine these
metrics based on whether your company is highly dependent on certain types of
profiles, like Generation Y employees or scientific profiles. Typical metrics
would include:
o Focus
on diversity on the workplace;
o Focus
on work-life balance;
o Fun
working environment.
Brand
image attractiveness: this
category includes metrics that show your attractiveness to the external world,
your stakeholders. For instance:
o How
do you compare with your competitors in terms of use of social media?
o Is
the mission and vision statement of the companies future oriented and appealing
to stakeholders?
o Are
you –or your competitors- using gamification to raise your brand awareness?
Sustainability: if you find yourself in an industry that is sensible
to sustainability issues (either through regulatory pressure or because of high
expectations on this issue from customers, for instance), you could include
metrics like these:
o Availability
and level of detail of publicly available corporate sustainability report;
o Publicized
hard targets to improve corporate sustainability;
o Communication
of sustainability efforts on the homepage of the company.
Go-to-market
strategy: the metrics in this category could compare
your company to competitors in terms of how you go to market, for instance:
o The
diversity of sales channels for your products or services;
o Complexity/
simplicity of the product or services offering;
o Whether
the sales channels add value on top of the core products sold through them.
Adaptability: in an increasing number of industries companies need
to constantly adapt to the changing environment in order to survive. In this
category you could include metrics that indicate the propensity of
organizations to change, albeit because they have proven to be able to do so in
the past:
o Have
organizations shift business focus radically and successfully in the past?
o Did you or your competitors address a totally
new market segment in recent years?
o How
many (successful) merger and acquisitions did the companies conduct in the
recent past?
Strategy: this category contains indications on whether
companies have a clear vision and a solid strategy to realize this vision:
o Do
the companies have a clear and consistently communicated global (and local)
strategy?
o How
much do these companies spend on R&D?
o How
many different areas do they spend their R&D budget on?
Much
of the information you will have to base your judgment on can be found through
publicly available sources. For instance, for the metrics contained in the
‘Attractiveness as an employer’ category we can easily check the emphasis we or
our competitors put on these items on their internal or external jobsite. The
strategic metrics can be checked on websites or financial reports.
Once
you determined the metrics you can start comparing how well you score compared
to your competitors. This is easier said than done, however, since in most
cases (not all of them) there are no objective measures to compare performance
on. This will have to be based on judgment, but one way to make this activity
easier to perform, is to select the undisputable ‘best in class’ for each
metric, which by the way might be your own company, and to compare other
companies with how well they perform compared to it. By using the heatmap
functionality in a spreadsheet, you can start to build a very revealing
competitive comparison, for instance:

In
this example you would see that for the category of ‘attractiveness as
employer’ you score average, especially compared to the best-in-class,
Competitor 2. This is mainly due to the lack of specific programs for the
integration of disabled and elderly people, so the question might arise whether
designing such programs would generate a competitive advantage (at least
compared to your other competitors).
If
you do this for over twenty metrics across multiple categories, you will end up
with quite an interesting view of where your strengths and weaknesses are.
Sure, the point is not necessarily to copy the ‘best-in-class’ competitor on
each metric, but nevertheless it will provide a good view about the areas in
which you absolutely need to improve in order to maintain or enhance your
competitive position.
Sure,
I do realize that many decision makers, again, will be uncomfortable about
conducting such an exercise. After all, the
scores are merely based on personal judgment (although you could ask
different people in your organization to make the judgment, which will level
out eccentric judgments). Furthermore, the judgment is solely made based on
publicly available information, so how can we be sure not to miss out on
important strategic information that is not communicated publicly?
These
are fair points, but they miss the whole point of this exercise, which is to
make a comparison of how stakeholders (who have only publicly available
information to base their own judgment about a company on) might view your
company and your competitors, and based on this make choice that are important
to you, such as where to apply for a job, or which brand to stay loyal to. Of
course this is not exact science, and neither is it designed to be. It is an
exercise to generate new ideas and inspire fruitful internal discussions.